Saturday, September 12, 2015

Kaiser tracks modest premium increases for benchmark plans -- which means what to whom?

The Kaiser Family Foundation has updated an analysis of 2016 premium changes in 12 states and the District of Columbia, the only states (and, um, District) where complete information was available. Rather than focus on average rate increases across all plans, Kaiser focuses on the benchmark second-cheapest silver and cheapest silver plans This is useful in a number of ways, outlined below. Kaiser spotlights the largest city in each state.

The headline is a quite modest average increase in the benchmark plan -- 3.1% -- and a somewhat larger spike in the average cheapest silver plan in each city, 4.2%. The average covers a wide range of variation, from a 22.8% benchmark hike in Portland, OR to a 10.1% drop in Seattle, WA.

Prices changes in the ACA marketplace (including the off-exchange nongroup market) affect different constituencies is different ways -- as do different measures of price changes. I've outlined a few of the permutations below. Point #3 is most interesting, in my view (bury the lead, squawk squawk, bury the lead...).

First, here's Kaiser's flagship chart:

Tuesday, September 08, 2015

The feds are taking cost sharing and premium subsidies away from many ACA private plan enrollees

CMS's latest snapshot of private plan enrollment in ACA marketplaces shows significant attrition, from 10,197,187 total enrollments as of March 31 to 9,949,079 as of June 30, a drop of 2.4%. That's mainly -- in fact entirely -- because of stepped-up enforcement of citizenship or immigration status.

That increased vigilance also explains an apparent anomaly that jumped out at me from the numbers: the drop in plan holders whose plans are enhanced with Cost Sharing Reduction (CSR) subsidies is larger than the drop in enrollment among silver plan holders. Since CSR is available only with silver plans, one might have assumed that a drop in CSR enrollment would simply reflect a drop in silver plan enrollment among those with incomes under 250% FPL, the cutoff for CSR eligibility. Yet CSR enrollment dropped by 278,103 -- 4.8% -- compared to a silver enrollment drop of 142,336 (2.0%).

It turns out that the marketplaces are cracking down on enrollees whose stated income doesn't match other data, presumably mainly from tax returns, and reducing or withdrawing CSR benefits as well as premium subsidies when enrollees don't verify their income claims. That's in tandem with increased enforcement with respect to immigration or citizenship status. Here's the explanation:

Some low-income ACA shoppers bought gold plans*

* But not enough to cover Avalere's estimate of CSR-forfeiters

On August 19, Avalere Health published an analysis spotlighting ACA private plan buyers who failed to access the Cost Sharing Reduction (CSR) subsidies that are available to applicants with incomes up to 250% of the Federal Poverty Level (FPL) -- but only if they buy silver plans. Avalere estimated that about 27% of CSR-eligible buyers forfeited the subsidy by buying plans in metal levels other than silver -- usually the cheapest bronze plans, which carry very high deductibles.

In a response, I argued that Avalere had somewhat lowballed CSR takeup by overestimating the number of private plan buyers who were eligible for CSR. The numerator of the equation is not in doubt: an ACA enrollment update published by CMS in June pegged total CSR enrollment at 5,850,936 as of March 31. But the denominator (CSR-eligibles) is based on extrapolations from incomplete income breakouts of ACA private plan customers, provided by HHS in March for healthcare.gov states alone. Avalere assumed that 8.1 million of those still enrolled as of March 31 were CSR-eligible; I estimate that about 7.7 million enrollees were eligible, and that therefore, about 76% of CSR-eligibles accessed the benefit.

The difference stems from two factors: what you assume about the roughly 6% of enrollees for whom income data was unavailable, and how you estimate the percentage of CSR-eligibles in state-based exchanges, for whom income data was not included in federal enrollment reports. I assume that income distribution in the SBMs is closer to that of those healthcare.gov states that accepted the Medicaid expansion than to the overall average for healthcare.gov states, which is dominated by states that refused to expand Medicaid.

CSR-eligibles who bought neither silver nor bronze

I was struck today by additional evidence that Avalere somewhat overestimated the number of private plan holders who are eligible for CSR. According to their analysis, 2.2 million plan holders renounced the benefit by buying non-silver plans. The assumption is that those who leave CSR on the table mostly buy bronze plans, which have lower premiums. But the total number of bronze plan buyers is a known quantity: 2,164,116.  And we know that bronze plan buyers are more concentrated at higher income levels. Among buyers eligible for any kind of subsidy (not all of whom were CSR-eligible), 19% bought bronze. Among those who earned too much to qualify for subsidies, 35% chose bronze.

Saturday, September 05, 2015

Obama overcompensates for winning

Obama's defense of the Iran deal in an interview with the Jewish Daily Forward's editor-in-chief Jane Eisner was marked by bulletproof logic and and impressive grasp of nuance. It was marred, however, by grotesque overcompensation for having beaten back Netanyahu's attempt to control U.S. policy on this front. Obama foreclosed on the the possibility of a fundamental divide in interests, not to say values, in terms inappropriate to relations between nations:
There are always going to be arguments within families and among friends. And Israel isn’t just an ally, it’s not just a friend — it’s family.
And then:

Thursday, September 03, 2015

The ACA's uncertain shield against underinsurance: A CSR compendium

Note, 2/16/18: This post, and the index of posts it introduces, originated long before the legal challenge to federal CSR reimbursement began to directly affect policy and the shape of the ACA marketplace. The focus until the 2016 election was mainly on CSR takeup and the factors that affected it. In 2017, Trump's threats to cut off CSR reimbursement, executed in October, reshaped the ACA marketplace, driving up costs for the unsubsidized while providing windfalls for many of the subsidy eligible. That is a separate story, and posts relating to those effects are listed in a new section at the top of the index.

Updated 10/9/15, 4/6/16, 4/14/17

Cost Sharing Reduction (CSR) subsidies are the ACA marketplace's best defense against underinsurance for private plan buyers. That's why I've been so interested in who accesses or fails to access CSR and why -- and why takeup varies widely from state to state.

Thanks to CSR, half of marketplace enrollees obtain coverage that covers a higher percentage of the average enrollee's costs than the average employer-provided plan. That is, about 49% of enrollees are enrolled in CSR-enhanced silver plans that raise the plan's actuarial value -- the percentage of the average user's costs covered by the insurer --  to either 94% or 87% (see The Rosetta Stone of CSR takeup*).  The average in employer sponsored insurance is about 82%, or at least it was as of 2011, according to a Kaiser analysis. Another 5% of enrollees are in gold or platinum plans, with AV 80% and 90% respectively [paragraph added 4/14/17].

Below is an index of my posts examining the factors affecting CSR takeup, along with some posts questioning whether the benefit ought to be restructured.  I've done a fair number of single-state snapshots, and they're listed separately at bottom. The top two posts focused on California highlight price sensitivity; the Connecticut, New York, Maryland, Rhode Island Washington posts show how website design can shape the choice; and the posts on southern states mostly illustrate that lower income buyers, for whom the CSR benefit is strongest and the cost of silver lowest, are likeliest to access CSR.

Overall, according to the most recent enrollment figures for 2015, 56% of marketplace private plan buyers in all states accessed CSR (Update, 4/14/17: 58% in 2017).  About 85% of them reported a household income under 201% of the Federal Poverty Level (FPL) and so received a strong version of the benefit, raising the actuarial value of their silver plans to 94% (up to 150% FPL) or 87% (151-200% FPL). Another 7% of all buyers bought gold (AV 80%) and 3% bought platinum (AV 90%) plans. 21% bought bronze plans (AV 60%) with their sky-high deductibles, usually ranging from $5,000-6,600 per person. (Update: in 2017, the breakout was 4% gold, 1% platinum, 71% silver and 23% bronze.)

Here's a sampling of my posts on the subject.

Effects of Trump's CSR cutoff (added 2/16/18, updated 4/27/18)

If Seema Verma bans silver loading, how many marketplace enrollees will suffer? (4/12/18)

Choosing a metal level in the CSR-addled Maryland marketplace (1/17/18)

For whom the bronze bell tolls in the ACA marketplace (11/16/17)

Hey, Republicans: Auto-enrollment is within reach (11/10/17)

Free bronze or CSR-boosted silver? The choice in 5 top ACA marketplaces (11/4/17)

CSR windfall: Will it have a bronze or gold cast? (10/27/17)

Bronze and gold discount plans in California, 2018 (10/20/17)

States vary in response to CSR uncertainty (with David Anderson, Charles Gaba and Louise Norris) (10/11/17)

Covered California to midde-class enrollees: There may be gold in them thar hills (10/7/17)

Go ahead, Trump, cut off CSR payments -- starting in 2018 (7/20/17)

National CSR takeup (and implications)

"Strong" CSR takeup dropped modestly on HealthCare.gov in 2018 (4/3/18)

On HealthCare.gov, CSR takeup rose steadily 2015-2017 (2/15/18)

The real cost of benchmark silver for BCRA enrollees (7/1/17)

ACA vs. AHCA: Total subsidized shares of costs at different income levels and ages (3/19/17)

The Rosetta Stone of CSR takeup (1/9/17)

ACA afflicted by a deductible cliff (12/21/16)

Cutting off CSR subsidies will hit red state enrollees especially hard (12/5/16)

Two major divides in the post-ACA individual market (4/1/16)

Supporting the biggest decision for ACA marketplace shoppers (11/3/15)

How bronze plans offer fool's gold to the Treasury (11/1/15)

Surprise! When silver plans are cheaper, more people buy them (10/24/15)

Addled by the metal level (10/5/15)

"Are marketplace plans affordable?" - on Commonwealth Fund survey (9/28/15)

The feds are taking CSR and premium subsidies away from many enrollees (9/8/15)

Five factors shaping CSR takeup on ACA exchanges (9/1/15)

A quibble with Avalere over CSR takeup (8/20/15; updated, 9/3/15)

Is Obamcare's bronze trap widening? (on healthinsurance.org (8/12/15)

Income levels and CSR takeup in states that refused Medicaid expansion (8/23/15)

Tuesday, September 01, 2015

No man is an island -- but the GOP is

Yesterday, in a speech in Anchorage starkly laying out the current and future effects of climate change, Obama rhetorically placed his opposition on an island unto themselves, as besieged intellectually as Alaskan islanders now are physically. That reminded me of something. Here's the passage:
But if those trend lines continue the way they are, there’s not going to be a nation on this Earth that’s not impacted negatively.  People will suffer.  Economies will suffer.  Entire nations will find themselves under severe, severe problems.  More drought; more floods; rising sea levels; greater migration; more refugees; more scarcity; more conflict.

That’s one path we can take.  The other path is to embrace the human ingenuity that can do something about it.  This is within our power.  This is a solvable problem if we start now.

And we’re starting to see that enough consensus is being built internationally and within each of our own body politics that we may have the political will -- finally -- to get moving.

So the time to heed the critics and the cynics and the deniers is past.  The time to plead ignorance is surely past.  Those who want to ignore the science, they are increasingly alone.  They’re on their own shrinking island. 
Here's the association. Defending the Iran deal in early August, Obama similarly quarantined the opposition: 

Five factors driving (or inhibiting) CSR takeup in ACA private plan markets

I want to lay out some notes here for a regression analysis of what drives takeup (or the lack of takeup) of Cost Sharing Reduction (CSR) subsidies among buyers of private health plans on ACA exchanges. CSR reduces out-of-pocket costs for buyers with incomes under 251% of the Federal Poverty Level (FPL).  The benefit is quite strong up to 200% FPL, but almost negligible in the 201-250% FPL range.

CSR is best understood not as some obscure secondary benefit but as the ACA's best defense against underinsurance -- that is, against leaving plan holders on the hook for more medical expenses than they can afford. Thanks mainly to CSR, about 60% of buyers on ACA exchanges buy insurance with an actuarial value of 80% or higher - - coverage comparable to or more comprehensive than that offered by most employers. Without CSR, only 10% of exchange customers would access that AV level. CSR provides insurance with AV 87% or 94% to about half of ACA exchange customers.

CSR is a leaky vessel, however, Only about three quarters of those who are eligible access the benefit, including probably a bit over 80% of those eligible for "strong" CSR (AV 87% or 94%). Silver plan premiums can be a hard swallow for low income buyers. In 2015, somewhere between 15% and 20% of buyers under 201% FPL probably opted for cheaper bronze plans with their sky-high deductibles (usually over $5,000 per individual).

CSR takeup among all eligible buyers varies quite a bit from state to state, most commonly between 70% and 80%, more broadly between about 68% and 85% -- discounting a few states that have layered their own benefit structures on the national ACA template (e.g., Vermont and Massachusetts).  In various posts, I've spotlighted factors that have an impact (or may have an impact) on CSR takeup levels, though none form a basis for consistent predictions. Below, I've listed those factors in what I would guess to be descending order of likely impact.

Monday, August 31, 2015

Name Ohio "McKinley" -- and don't stop there!

Republicans, particularly Ohio Republicans, are of course up in arms about the Obama administration's announcement that it would use its executive authority to restore Mount McKinley (named in 1896 by a gold prospector who heard of the president-to-be's nomination) to its historic name, Denali, "the high one," as it had been known for centuries. Alaskans have requested the change for decades (and changed the name themselves via the state Board on Geographic Names in 1975), and (Republican) Senator Lisa Murkowski recorded a video thanking Obama for the change, but never mind.*  John Boehner, whose district is in Ohio, is "deeply disappointed" that McKinley's "great legacy" is losing a monument. Senator Rob Portman bemoans the diss of a "proud Ohioan" (while erroneously deeming the McKinley naming a post-assassination honor).

These complaints are disappointingly circumspect. It's time for presidential candidates to up the ante against the pandering president. Why focus on mere isolated slags of stone? Scratch a bit, and it seems a bunch of squish multiculturalists got hold of state naming boards when this country was young. Why not name all these states that ignore our European heritage and great legacy after (GOP) presidents?**

Alabama (Muskagean)
Alaska (Aleut)
Arkansas (Sioux)
Connecticut (Algonquian)
Hawaii (Polynesian)
Idaho (Comanche)

Sunday, August 30, 2015

Why Trump wants a wall

There's a prototype for Trump's wall along the Mexican border:


If you're going to build an 1800-mile wall, why not stuff it with apartments?  And of course, Mexicans can come through the "beautiful door" and build it..and have their remittances taxed to pay for it.  It will have not only gorgeous views of the Rio Grande. but the best lawns.

As president, Trump can set up a public-private partnership with himself. The U.S. can be renamed Trump Place. What's not to like?

Thursday, August 27, 2015

Which insured Americans get no subsidy whatsoever?

Who are the Americans who get no help from the federal government paying for their health insurance?

The uninsured, of course. Also, those who buy their insurance in the nongroup market (on- or off-exchange) and a) earn too much to qualify for subsidies, and b) are not self-employed.

It's important to recognize that the self-employed do get a subsidy: the self-employment health insurance deduction. If your health insurance costs less than your total self-employed earnings, you can deduct the whole cost from your earnings. A recent study indicates that this deduction takes an average of 22% off the average self-employed tax filer's health insurance bill.

My question: what percentage of buyers in the nongroup market are not subsidy eligible and not self-employed? They are the only insured Americans who get no government aid paying for insurance. Most of them, that is: there is also a medical expense deduction available to any household that spends more than 10% of its Adjusted Gross Income on medical expenses, including insurance. Only expenses over 10% of AGI can be deducted.

Sunday, August 23, 2015

Biden in Pilgrimage to Democrats' Matron Saint

In honor of James Fallows' found art department: The NYT 'weekend briefing' on my phone had the image below directly beneath the headline below

Biden, Considering White House Bid, Meets with Elizabeth Warren



Let us hope he found what he was seeking.

Article here. The image was actually attached to this one.

Friday, August 21, 2015

How many of the uninsured know what's on offer? Not many, Urban finds

With ACA private plan market enrollment lagging initial CBO projections, one key question is whether those who qualify for aid but remain uninsured are doing so because they can't afford what's on offer or because they still don't know what's on offer.

The Urban Institute's latest Health Reform Monitoring Survey (HRMS), conducted in March 2015, indicates that both factors are at work, but comes down more on the side of ignorance of what's on offer. That's "good news" in the sense that ignorance can be rectified for less money than too-skimpy offerings -- though an Urban analysis released earlier this week warns that outreach and marketplace operations are underfunded, as are the subsidies intended to make coverage affordable.

The HRMS found that 43.1% of still-uninsured have household incomes that may be* in the range that qualify them for subsidized private plans on ACA exchanges. Another 27.7% have incomes that would qualify them for Medicaid under the ACA expansion and live in states that have accepted the expansion (including an unmeasured percentage of both undocumented and legally present immigrants** who do not qualify). 22.6% are in the "coverage gap," earning under 100% of the Federal Poverty Level in states that have refused to expand Medicaid. Just 6.6% of the uninsured earn too much to qualify for any aid.

Fully 60% of those likely to qualify for aid say they remain uninsured because costs are too high or they can't afford coverage. But... here is the key point, in my view:

Thursday, August 20, 2015

A quibble with Avalere over CSR takeup

9/3/15: See update at bottom for Avalere's response to questions posed here 

I may have to "never mind" this post if I'm missing something basic, but...it seems to me that Avalere Health lowballed Cost Sharing Reduction (CSR) takeup a little in an analysis released today.

Avalere's calculation is simple: 5.9 million buyers of private plans on ACA exchanges bought plans with Cost Sharing Reduction subsidies, available only to buyers with incomes under 250% of the Federal Poverty Level (FPL), and only if they selected silver plans.  8.1 million buyers were eligible for CSR, according to Avalere; hence about 2.2 million left the benefit on the table; most of them probably brought bronze plans with sky-high deductibles. The CSR takeup rate comes to just 72.8%,

Avalere says that it derived these numbers from HHS's March enrollment report,which broke out enrollees by income level in the 37 states using healthcare.gov, and a CMS update released in June, which adjusted for attrition (mostly no-pays) as of March 31.

We know where the 5.9 million figure for those who accessed CSR came from: the June update, which reported 5,850,936 enrollees with CSR. But what about the denominator, the 8.1 million? That's trickier. We know there were 10,187,197 enrollees as of March 31. But how many were CSR-eligible?

Wednesday, August 19, 2015

A tough progressive critique of the ACA

Over at The Incidental Economist, I have a review of IBD reporter Jed Graham's e-book analyzing flaws in the ACA and proposing a package of fixes. Here's the opening*:
Those who have closely followed the drama of Affordable Care Act implementation as it's unfolded in the media over the past two years may be familiar with the sharp criticisms of Jed Graham, a reporter at Investor's Business Daily. These include a list of cuts to work hours and jobs prompted by the employer mandate, and spotlights on the sky-high deductibles taken on by the approximately one fifth of ACA private plan buyers who chose the lowest tier bronze plans.

Given the title of Graham's e-book assessing the law, ObamaCare is a Great Mess, a sometime reader of Graham's articles might assume that he's one of the ACA's many implacable ideological opponents. That would be to ignore the subtitle, A View of the Affordable Care Act Without Partisan Blinders & How to Fix It, as well as its substantive criticisms and recommendations. Graham identifies the law's shortcomings from an essentially progressive perspective, highlighting what he presents as the regressive impact of its mandates and  the limited affordability of its offerings for many buyers.  "The heart of the ACA is basically sound," he writes. "The goal of reform should be to unclog the arteries and let the heart do its job."
Graham's proposed fixes are well worth considering (well, some of them, in my view), and there's a potential venue for trying them out (or variants that could be cast as revenue-neutral): the ACA's innovation waivers inviting states to submit alternative schemes, starting in 2017 that meet the ACA's standards for affordability and coverage at comparable cost.  The book is also a useful antidote to the triumphalism that's taken hold of many supporters since the King v. Burwell nightmare went away.

--
* More or less: these paragraphs were edited down a bit for TIE.

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

The Urban Institute's Medicaid expansion proposal could help the ACA private plan market

The Urban Institute has released a report* proposing that the federal government spend an extra half-trillion dollars over ten years to boost the affordability and uptake of the Affordable Care Act's health insurance offerings. The core premise is that for far too many uninsured Americans, private plans offered on ACA exchanges are either unaffordable or offer too-skimpy coverage.

The headline proposal is to boost premium and cost-sharing subsidies for the private plans offered on ACA exchanges.  I'd like to spotlight a side effect of a secondary proposal, designed to entice some of the 21 states that have thus far refused the ACA Medicaid expansion to embrace it. It's this:
Although some of the currently nonexpanding states may choose to participate in the future, many others may continue to refuse to do so, maintaining the tremendous inequity that provides federal financial assistance to some people with incomes at or above the federal poverty level but denies assistance to many adults who are actually poor. One option to address this hole in the ACA’s reach is to give states the option of expanding Medicaid coverage up to 100 percent of FPL rather than requiring them to expand to 138 percent of FPL if they expand at all.

Wednesday, August 12, 2015

As the ACA mandate bites harder, will a Bronze Age follow?

I have a post up at healthinsurance.org responding to a forecast by Investor's Business Daily reporter Jed Graham,to the effect that as the individual mandate clubs more people into the ACA exchanges, more low income shoppers will buy bronze plans.

Graham assumes that most of those who have remained uninsured have looked at what's on offer and decided it's too expensive, or that only bronze is affordable and that the sky-high bronze deductibles render those plans a poor value.  While that's doubtless true for some, I point to survey data indicating that large percentages of the still-uninsured don't know what's on offer.

I want to skip here to a somewhat fuller discussion of solutions Graham offers to what he calls "the bronze trap" in his just-released e-book, Obamacare is a Great Mess: A View of the Affordable Care Act Without Partisan Blinders & How to Fix It, which is well worth a read.

Monday, August 10, 2015

Pet insurance: permission to spend?

Sarah Kliff has a good article about pet insurance that poses the right two questions at the outset -- courtesy of Jennifer Fitzgerald, co-founder of an excellent online insurance market called PolicyGenius:
The first question is the easier one: How much can I afford to spend on my pet? If I got a really expensive bill, maybe something upward of $5,000, would I be able to pay it off myself? If the answer is yes, she says, you might not need pet insurance: You could take a gamble and essentially act as your own insurance company. But if the answer is no, then there's a follow-up question:

How much am I willing to spend to save my pet's life? Don't think about the constraints of your budget for a moment — think about whether you'd think it was worth it to pay $5,000, $10,000, maybe even $20,000 to save your pet's life.
I have been mulling the second question on and off for some years. When we adopted our dear departed beagle mutt Merlin fourteen years ago, I used to joke that he had a $2,000 lifetime health savings account. That was because I was bemused by tales of people paying for cancer operations for their dogs -- $5k or $10k.  I thought that was ridiculous. But changing cultural norms have a tidal pull. When we adopted the beguiling dachshund mutt Walter two years ago, I started testing my mental limits for what I'd be willing to pay down the line -- especially as we read that dachschunds are prone to spinal troubles (we hope the 1/4 pit bull in him may spare him that).


Best tool against inequality: antitrust enforcement? (of two kinds?)

[Update, 10/28: An updated version of Einer Elhauge's article is available here.]

The Wall Street Journal reports today that activist shareholders, who force management and operational changes in public companies to boost "shareholder value," are increasingly enlisting large mutual fund companies as allies and thus winning more battles. Their aims generally: "share buybacks, cost-cutting and asset sales."

That boost to shareholder activism, taking place over the last decade, recalls a theory of what's driving growing economic inequality recently advanced by Harvard law professor Einer Elhauge. According to Elhauge, increased consolidation of public company ownership by institutional investors like BlackRock, Vanguard, Fidelity, and State Street leads to a phenomenon called "horizontal shareholding," in which these mega-investors own major stakes in all the major players in a given industry and thus provide incentives to those companies to collude rather than compete -- or more exactly, to act in ways that boost share prices across the industry rather than relative to their competitors.

Elhauge's analysis is prompted by the fact that "the increasing share of stock held by institutional investors...has grown from 34% of all stock in 1980 to 67% of all stock in 2010." He links that rise to the often-cited drop in the percentage of corporate revenue going to wages and capital investment:

Saturday, August 08, 2015

What if Congress rejects the Iran deal? Ex-Mossad chief Halevy fills in the blanks

There's one incontrovertible point in the argument against the Congress rejecting and invalidating the nuclear agreement with Iran. Even if you think the deal was poorly negotiated, if the U.S. walks away the sanctions regime will immediately fall apart and Iran will gain everything it could ever gain either by cheating on the deal or stepping up its enrichment and weapons program when various constraints expire. 

Obama has made this point repeatedly, minus the "even if you think..." part. The shorthand is "what is your alternative?" -- and there is none. Implicitly recognizing this, Chuck Schumer, in the most self-negating policy statement I've ever read, could barely bring himself to sketch in (in the statement's last breath) an alleged alternative path:

Friday, August 07, 2015

Five Republicans who are not democrats

Leave aside for a moment the favored policies of the ten Republican presidential candidates in the prime-time debate and the seven in the second-tier happy hour debate.  While there were very few actual policy differences, at least five candidates expressed startling contempt or disregard for the core structure of U.S. government, democratic constraints on the executive, international law, or the most basic standards of evidence for assertions made in public. 

Here's a quick look at five violations of the norms of democratic government as understood in the U.S. and internationally.

1. International law banning torture is not "brain surgery." Here's neurosurgeon Ben Carson responding to a question from Megyn Kelly: "As president,....would you bring back waterboarding?"
Alright. You know, what we do in order to get the information that we need is our business, and I wouldn't necessarily be broadcasting what we're going to do.(APPLAUSE)

We've gotten into this -- this mindset of fighting politically correct wars. There is no such thing as a politically correct war. (APPLAUSE)