On Marketplace this evening, Gallup's Frank Newport delivered bad news for Obama: by a nine point margin, Americans think that the economy will be in better shape for years from now if Romney is elected than if he is. The question is, why do they think that? They prefer Obama's tax policies and "balanced" approach to deficit reduction. They would hate the massive cuts to domestic spending necessitated by Romney skeleton of a budget if they could be made aware of them. They support the separate elements of the job creation package Obama put forward last fall.
I would have thought that the answer is, first, that an incumbent president inevitably gets blamed for a weak economy, and second, that they have so far bought the Romney pitch that a highly successful businessman is well equipped to turn the economy around. But Newport said something that turned my head around and brought me back to August 1, 2011: "Romney does better than Obama in terms of being able to manage the government."