Showing posts with label Amitabh Chandra. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Amitabh Chandra. Show all posts

Thursday, June 26, 2014

The bipartisan consensus on healthcare cost control

It would be inaccurate to say that there are two main methods of controlling healthcare costs. But it's fair, I think, to say that there are two poles, with an important if unproven class of measures between them.

One pole is government control over the price of medical services, procedures and products, including drugs. The means vary widely, from direct government payment of providers (the U.K.) to regional government approval of rates negotiated by all insurers (Switzerland, for hospitals). Government rate-setting is employed by every wealthy country except the United States, which is also to say every country that provides universal health insurance to its citizens. Not coincidentally, the U.S. spends two-and-a-half times the OECD per capita healthcare spending average and almost twice as much as a percentage of GDP (as of 2011).

The other pole is to offload an ever-increasing share of the healthcare tab onto consumers, causing them to restrict their healthcare consumption.  The U.S. has de facto taken this route. According to Kaiser Family Foundation research, the percentage of workers who pay an annual deductible of more than $1,000 for a single-person plan provided by the employer rose from 10% in 2006 to 38% in 2013. From 2003 to 2013, while premiums overall rose 80%, the cost of the average worker's share of the premium rose 89%, from $2,412 for a family plan in 2003 to $4,565 in 2013. According to the 2013 PwC Touchstone Survey of major US companies, 44% of employers were considering offering high-deductible health plans as the only benefit option to their employees in 2014; 17% did so in 2013.  Deductibles have also skyrocketed in the individual market, a trend accelerated by the Affordable Care Act. In the ACA exchanges, the average bronze plan's single person deductible was just over $5,000 and the average silver plan's, just under $3,000.

Monday, June 09, 2014

When "choice" is a euphemism for "wealth"

I am a little surprised that two leading healthcare economists, Austin Frakt and Amitabh Chandra, write approvingly in The Upshot of this proposal for a new kind of health insurance:
If plans could compete on the basis of the therapies they cover, consumers could decide what they wish to pay for. This sounds complicated, but it need not be.

Health plans could define themselves at least in part by the value of technologies they cover, an idea proposed* by Professor Russell Korobkin of the U.C.L.A. School of Law. For example, a bronze plan could cover hospitalizations and visits to doctors for emergencies and accidents; genetic diseases; and prescription drugs that keep people out of hospitals. A silver plan could cover what bronze plans do but also include treatments a large majority of physicians find useful. A gold plan could be more inclusive still, adding coverage, for instance, for every cancer therapy shown to improve patient outcomes (no matter the cost) as long as it was delivered at a leading cancer center. Finally, a platinum plan could cover experimental and unproven cancer therapies, including, for example, that proton beam.

This way, nothing would be concealed or withheld from consumers. Someone who wanted proton-beam cancer treatment coverage could have it by selecting a platinum policy and paying its higher premiums. Someone who did not want to pay higher premiums for lower-value care, in turn, could choose a bronze or silver plan
The author of the proposal, Russell Korobkin, implicitly admits that it's a bit utopian, or at least a distant prospect, in that "there is very little solid information demonstrating the basic effectiveness of the majority of medical treatments recommended by physicians and other providers every day" and "where there is more than one plausible intervention, there is even less information available concerning the comparative effectiveness of possibilities."  His plan depends on creating a uniform scale of "relative value ratings" based on an existing measure, quality-adjusted life-years, "routinely used by health service researchers to compare the benefits of dissimilar interventions."