tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8512362.post2786955691870314983..comments2024-03-10T13:59:19.230-04:00Comments on xpostfactoid: Poll-vaulting to debate gloryAndrew Sprunghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17601269968798865106noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8512362.post-80890092910377091302012-10-19T19:01:58.102-04:002012-10-19T19:01:58.102-04:00The fact that we got such a huge swing after the f...The fact that we got such a huge swing after the first debate (or around it), and much less after the second debate, makes me believe what a member of Obama's team (Plouffe I think?) said: many of the voters that swung toward Romney after the first debate were Republican-leaners. They were only looking for an opportunity to support Romney and probably would have supported him at one point or another.<br /><br />So we probably got one huge swing, rather than a slow trickle towards Romney. This is about where the race should be: Obama +1 or +2, maybe tied. Obama barely holding on to the Pennsylvania/Wisconsin/Nevada triumvirate, with Iowa and Colorado being tossups and the others (Virginia, NC, Florida) leaning Romney.Mr. Xnoreply@blogger.com